Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Chile - Primera División Regular Season - 10 Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso· Coquimbo Sunday, April 19, 2026 16:30

Coquimbo Unido PPG 1.50

1-1 HIT CS4

Nublense PPG 2.00

Away· +27.8% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Coquimbo Unido face Nublense in Chile - Primera División on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coquimbo Unido a 35% chance, the draw 32% and Nublense 33%, so Coquimbo Unido are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Coquimbo Unido and 0.9 for Nublense (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coquimbo Unido are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Nublense. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +27.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.9%

Odds: 1.94 EV: -32.3%

Draw 31.9%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +2.1%

Away 33.2%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +27.8%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 29.4% Odds: 2.20 -35.3%

Over 3.5 12.4% Odds: 4.20 -47.9%

BTTS 37.4% Odds: 1.93 -27.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-1 ✔

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Coquimbo Unido

0.96

Nublense

0.93

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 4.9%

Bet Hit 54% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)