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Aldosivi vs Racing Club Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Apertura - 15 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 16:30

Aldosivi

PPG 0.83 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Racing Club

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-035.1%0-126.5%0-210.0%0-32.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.3%1-17.8%1-22.9%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-01.5%2-11.1%2-20.4%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.1%3-10.1%3-20.0%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% 20.0% 5.00 -33.5%

Draw 43.3% 31.7% 3.15 +36.4%

Away win 43.4% 55.6% 1.80 -21.9%

Over 2.5 8.9% 34.5% 2.90 -74.2%

Over 3.5 2.2% 16.0% 6.25 -86.3%

BTTS 13.4% 40.0% 2.50 -66.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -39.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob13.4%

A 43% / xG 0.3-0.8 / U2.5 9% / NoBTTS 13%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 35.1%

#2 0–1 26.5%

#3 1–0 10.3%

#4 0–2 10.0%

#5 1–1✓ 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aldosivi0.3

Racing Club0.8

COMBINED 1.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 8.9% · O3.5 PROB 2.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ALDOSIVI · PPG 0.83

RACING CLUB · PPG 1.38

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs Home POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Aldosivi (H) 13.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -33.5%

Draw 43.3%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +36.4%

Racing Club (A) 43.4%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -21.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Aldosivi face Racing Club in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aldosivi a 13% chance, the draw 43% and Racing Club 43%, so Racing Club are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Aldosivi and 0.8 for Racing Club (1.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 9% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 13% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aldosivi are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.38 for Racing Club. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +36.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Aldosivi vs Racing Club Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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