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Llaneros W vs Atlético Nacional W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 20:30

Llaneros W

PPG 1.43 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Atlético Nacional W

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.48 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-113.2%0-214.1%0-310.0%0-4+8.7%1 1-04.0%1-18.6%1-29.1%1-36.5%1-4+5.7%2 2-01.3%2-12.8%2-23.0%2-32.1%2-4+1.8%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.2% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 66.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 54.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob49.6%

A 66% / xG 0.6-2.1 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.1%

#2 0–1 13.2%

#3 0–3 10.0%

#4 1–1 8.6%

#5 1–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Llaneros W0.6

Atlético Nacional W2.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LLANEROS W · PPG 1.43

ATLÉTICO NACIONAL W · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.48 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Llaneros W (H) 13.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atlético Nacional W (A) 66.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Llaneros W face Atlético Nacional W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Llaneros W a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Atlético Nacional W 66%, so Atlético Nacional W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Llaneros W and 2.1 for Atlético Nacional W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Llaneros W are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 2.14 for Atlético Nacional W. This match finished 1-5.

Llaneros W vs Atlético Nacional W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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