Today / Argentina - Torneo Federal A / Huracan Las Heras vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Huracan Las Heras vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Winners Stage · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:30

Huracan Las Heras

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-040.0%0-118.2%0-24.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.4%1-18.4%1-21.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-04.2%2-11.9%2-20.4%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.7%3-10.3%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% 34.5% 2.90 -6.0%

Draw 39.3% 38.5% 2.60 +2.2%

Away win 28.3% 38.5% 2.60 -15.8%

Over 2.5 28.6% 33.3% 3.00 -8.5%

Over 3.5 11.7% 16.7% 6.00 -17.9%

BTTS 32.8% 42.0% 2.38 -21.9%

Home O1.5 32.1% 26.7% 3.75 +20.4%

Away O1.5 15.7% 28.6% 3.50 -27.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -32.3%

Bet Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob32.8%

D 39% / xG 0.5-0.5 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 40.0%

#2 1–0 18.4%

#3 0–1✓ 18.2%

#4 1–1 8.4%

#5 2–0 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huracan Las Heras0.5

Olimpo Bahia Blanca0.5

COMBINED 0.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 28.6% · O3.5 PROB 11.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HURACAN LAS HERAS · PPG 2.00

OLIMPO BAHIA BLANCA · PPG 1.62

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.01, combined xG 0.92 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Huracan Las Heras (H) 32.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -6.0%

Draw 39.3%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +2.2%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca (A) 28.3%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -15.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huracan Las Heras face Olimpo Bahia Blanca in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huracan Las Heras a 32% chance, the draw 39% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 28%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for Huracan Las Heras and 0.5 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca (0.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huracan Las Heras are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.62 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +20.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Huracan Las Heras vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Torneo Federal A Predictions