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Juventud Unida Univ. vs Fundacion Amigos Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Losers Stage · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:00

Juventud Unida Univ.

PPG 0.88 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Fundacion Amigos

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.4%0-114.7%0-24.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-111.4%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.9%2-14.4%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.1%3-11.1%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 47.6% 2.10 -23.8%

Draw 37.7% 37.0% 2.70 +1.8%

Away win 26.0% 27.0% 3.70 -2.3%

Over 2.5 29.0% 29.4% 3.40 -0.8%

Over 3.5 12.5% 14.3% 7.00 -7.5%

BTTS 44.4% 38.2% 2.62 +16.3%

Home O1.5 32.1% 30.8% 3.25 +4.3%

Away O1.5 17.4% 20.0% 5.00 -7.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -32.3%

Bet Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.4%

H 36% / xG 0.8-0.6 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.4%

#2 1–0✓ 20.5%

#3 1–1 11.4%

#4 0–1 14.7%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventud Unida Univ.0.8

Fundacion Amigos0.6

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.0% · O3.5 PROB 12.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUD UNIDA UNIV. · PPG 0.88

FUNDACION AMIGOS · PPG 1.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 1.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Juventud Unida Univ. (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -23.8%

Draw 37.7%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +1.8%

Fundacion Amigos (A) 26.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -2.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventud Unida Univ. face Fundacion Amigos in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventud Unida Univ. a 36% chance, the draw 38% and Fundacion Amigos 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Juventud Unida Univ. and 0.6 for Fundacion Amigos (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventud Unida Univ. are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.00 for Fundacion Amigos. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +16.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Juventud Unida Univ. vs Fundacion Amigos Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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