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Betim U20 vs Nacional de Muriae U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Winners Stage · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:00

Betim U20

PPG 2.17 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Nacional de Muriae U20

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-19.9%0-26.4%0-32.8%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.7%1-112.6%1-28.2%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.2%2-18.1%2-25.2%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.7%3-13.4%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.2% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 35.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 36.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–1 8.1%

#5 0–1✓ 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Betim U201.3

Nacional de Muriae U201.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BETIM U20 · PPG 2.17

NACIONAL DE MURIAE U20 · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Betim U20 (H) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nacional de Muriae U20 (A) 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Betim U20 face Nacional de Muriae U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Betim U20 a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Nacional de Muriae U20 36%, so Betim U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Betim U20 and 1.3 for Nacional de Muriae U20 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Betim U20 are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 2.00 for Nacional de Muriae U20. This match finished 0-1.

Betim U20 vs Nacional de Muriae U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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