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Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Boston City U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Winners Stage - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Nacional de Muriae U20

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Boston City U20

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-14.6%0-22.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.7%1-19.5%1-24.2%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.1%2-19.9%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.7%3-16.8%3-23.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-15.7%4+-22.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.0% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 24.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 56% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.1%

#2 1–1 9.5%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 3–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nacional de Muriae U202.1

Boston City U200.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NACIONAL DE MURIAE U20 · PPG 1.67

BOSTON CITY U20 · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.18 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Nacional de Muriae U20 (H) 56.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Boston City U20 (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nacional de Muriae U20 face Boston City U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nacional de Muriae U20 a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Boston City U20 22%, so Nacional de Muriae U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Nacional de Muriae U20 and 0.9 for Boston City U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nacional de Muriae U20 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.20 for Boston City U20.

Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Boston City U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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