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Boston City U20 vs Atlético Mineiro U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Winners Stage · Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 13:00

Boston City U20

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atlético Mineiro U20

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.63 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-19.2%0-28.3%0-35.0%0-4+3.4%1 1-06.0%1-110.8%1-29.7%1-35.8%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.5%2-16.3%2-25.7%2-33.4%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.4%3-12.5%3-22.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.5% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 43.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 33.8% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.6%

A 44% / xG 1.2-1.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 0–1 9.2%

#5 0–0 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boston City U201.2

Atlético Mineiro U201.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOSTON CITY U20 · PPG 1.83

ATLÉTICO MINEIRO U20 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.63 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Boston City U20 (H) 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atlético Mineiro U20 (A) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Boston City U20 face Atlético Mineiro U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boston City U20 a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Atlético Mineiro U20 44%, so Atlético Mineiro U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Boston City U20 and 1.8 for Atlético Mineiro U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boston City U20 are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.50 for Atlético Mineiro U20.

Boston City U20 vs Atlético Mineiro U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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