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Uberabinha U20 vs Inter de Minas U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Losers Stage · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:00

Uberabinha U20

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Inter de Minas U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-111.2%0-26.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.6%1-113.1%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.2%2-17.6%2-24.7%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% 25.6% 3.90 +43.9%

Draw 28.0% 28.6% 3.50 -1.2%

Away win 35.2% 57.1% 1.75 -38.4%

Over 2.5 50.3% 51.3% 1.95 -1.9%

Over 3.5 28.8% 30.3% 3.30 -3.0%

BTTS 53.1% 54.6% 1.83 -2.8%

Home O1.5 32.1% 32.3% 3.10 -0.5%

Away O1.5 35.7% 52.6% 1.90 -32.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.1%

D 28% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.1%

#3 0–1 11.2%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uberabinha U201.2

Inter de Minas U201.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UBERABINHA U20 · PPG 0.50

INTER DE MINAS U20 · PPG 1.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.07, combined xG 2.40 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Uberabinha U20 (H) 36.9%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +43.9%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -1.2%

Inter de Minas U20 (A) 35.2%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -38.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Uberabinha U20 face Inter de Minas U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uberabinha U20 a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Inter de Minas U20 35%, so Uberabinha U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Uberabinha U20 and 1.2 for Inter de Minas U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uberabinha U20 are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Inter de Minas U20. This match finished 1-4.

Uberabinha U20 vs Inter de Minas U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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