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América Mineiro U20 vs Social U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Winners Stage · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:00

América Mineiro U20

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Social U20

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.87 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.50 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.3%0-21.0%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.9%1-16.3%1-22.9%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.6%2-18.8%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-18.1%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-012.2%4+-111.1%4+-25.1%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.7% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 16.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 65.0% — — —

Away O1.5 24.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 67% / xG 2.8-0.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.6%

#2 3–0✓ 8.9%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 3–1 8.1%

#5 1–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

América Mineiro U202.8

Social U200.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AMÉRICA MINEIRO U20 · PPG 2.00

SOCIAL U20 · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.87 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.50 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

América Mineiro U20 (H) 66.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Social U20 (A) 16.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

América Mineiro U20 face Social U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives América Mineiro U20 a 67% chance, the draw 17% and Social U20 17%, so América Mineiro U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for América Mineiro U20 and 0.9 for Social U20 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, América Mineiro U20 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Social U20. This match finished 3-0.

América Mineiro U20 vs Social U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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