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Minas Boca U20 vs Villa Real U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Losers Stage · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:00

Minas Boca U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Villa Real U20

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-111.8%0-24.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.0%1-113.2%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.0%2-17.4%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.4%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.2% — — —

Draw 27.7% — — —

Away win 26.0% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.1% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 20.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.4%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.0%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Minas Boca U201.1

Villa Real U200.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MINAS BOCA U20 · PPG 1.00

VILLA REAL U20 · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.30, combined xG 1.95 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Minas Boca U20 (H) 46.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Villa Real U20 (A) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Minas Boca U20 face Villa Real U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Minas Boca U20 a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Villa Real U20 26%, so Minas Boca U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Minas Boca U20 and 0.8 for Villa Real U20 (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Minas Boca U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Villa Real U20. This match finished 1-2.

Minas Boca U20 vs Villa Real U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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