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Villa Real U20 vs Sao Joao del Rei U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Losers Stage - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Villa Real U20

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sao Joao del Rei U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.7%0-116.2%0-27.4%0-32.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.5%1-113.2%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.9%2-15.4%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.6%3-11.5%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% — — —

Draw 32.1% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 25.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

D 32% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.7%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.2%

#4 1–0 14.5%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Villa Real U200.8

Sao Joao del Rei U200.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VILLA REAL U20 · PPG 1.17

SAO JOAO DEL REI U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.10, combined xG 1.73 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Villa Real U20 (H) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sao Joao del Rei U20 (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Villa Real U20 face Sao Joao del Rei U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villa Real U20 a 32% chance, the draw 32% and Sao Joao del Rei U20 35%, so Sao Joao del Rei U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Villa Real U20 and 0.9 for Sao Joao del Rei U20 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villa Real U20 are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.00 for Sao Joao del Rei U20.

Villa Real U20 vs Sao Joao del Rei U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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