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Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Coimbra U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Winners Stage - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Atlético Mineiro U20

PPG 2.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Coimbra U20

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.91 for Home, form 2.67 vs 1.17 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-12.7%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.5%1-16.1%1-21.2%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.8%2-17.1%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.7%3-15.4%3-21.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-013.5%4+-15.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.8% — — —

Draw 19.8% — — —

Away win 9.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob45.4%

H 71% / xG 2.3-0.4 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.8%

#2 1–0 15.5%

#3 3–0 13.7%

#4 4–0 7.9%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atlético Mineiro U202.3

Coimbra U200.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLÉTICO MINEIRO U20 · PPG 2.67

COIMBRA U20 · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.91 for Home, form 2.67 vs 1.17 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Atlético Mineiro U20 (H) 70.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Coimbra U20 (A) 9.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlético Mineiro U20 face Coimbra U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlético Mineiro U20 a 71% chance, the draw 20% and Coimbra U20 9%, so Atlético Mineiro U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Atlético Mineiro U20 and 0.4 for Coimbra U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlético Mineiro U20 are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.17 for Coimbra U20.

Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Coimbra U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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