Today / Javor Ivanjica vs S. Subotica

Javor Ivanjica vs S. Subotica Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

Javor Ivanjica

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

S. Subotica

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.73)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-17.5%0-23.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.6%1-111.9%1-25.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.5%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.3%3-15.0%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 22.5% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 25.0% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.6%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 12.6%

#2 1–1 11.9%

#3 2–0 10.0%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Javor Ivanjica1.6

S. Subotica0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JAVOR IVANJICA · PPG 1.40

S. SUBOTICA · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Javor Ivanjica (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Subotica (A) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Javor Ivanjica face S. Subotica on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Javor Ivanjica a 52% chance, the draw 25% and S. Subotica 23%, so Javor Ivanjica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Javor Ivanjica and 0.9 for S. Subotica (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Javor Ivanjica are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.73 for S. Subotica.

Javor Ivanjica vs S. Subotica Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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