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France - Ligue 1 logo France flag France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 30 Stade de la Meinau· Strasbourg Sunday, April 19, 2026 15:15
Strasbourg logo Strasbourg PPG 1.93
0-3 MISS
Rennes logo Rennes PPG 1.57
Home· +52.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.7%
Odds: 2.60 EV: +52.6%
Draw 19.8%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -28.7%
Away 21.6%
Odds: 2.44 EV: -47.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.4% Odds: 1.65 +14.5%
Over 3.5 48.1% Odds: 2.65 +27.5%
BTTS 65.7% Odds: 1.53 +0.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Strasbourg
2.26
Rennes
1.32

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +14.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+52.6%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away GOOD (1.57)

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