Today / Salamanca CF vs D. Fabril

Salamanca CF vs D. Fabril Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

Salamanca CF

PPG 1.73 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

D. Fabril

PPG 1.87 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-115.9%0-210.0%0-34.2%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.2%1-112.9%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-04.1%2-15.2%2-23.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.1%3-11.4%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.8% — — —

Draw 29.2% — — —

Away win 47.0% — — —

Over 2.5 34.1% — — —

Over 3.5 15.5% — — —

BTTS 39.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob39.7%

A 47% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 15.9%

#2 1–1 12.9%

#3 0–0 12.7%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 0–2 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Salamanca CF0.8

D. Fabril1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.1% · O3.5 PROB 15.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SALAMANCA CF · PPG 1.73

D. FABRIL · PPG 1.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.87)

Win probability 1X2

Salamanca CF (H) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

D. Fabril (A) 47.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Salamanca CF face D. Fabril on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Salamanca CF a 24% chance, the draw 29% and D. Fabril 47%, so D. Fabril are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Salamanca CF and 1.3 for D. Fabril (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Salamanca CF are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.87 for D. Fabril. This match finished 0-1.

Salamanca CF vs D. Fabril Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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