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Tiszakecske vs Csakvari Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 26 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 15:00

Tiszakecske

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Csakvari

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 61% chance

Model probability 59.1% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-17.7%0-25.6%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.9%1-111.5%1-28.3%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.5%2-26.1%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.9%3-14.2%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 45.5% 2.20 -15.3%

Draw 24.6% 33.3% 3.00 -26.2%

Away win 36.8% 34.7% 2.88 +6.0%

Over 2.5 56.1% — — —

Over 3.5 33.7% — — —

BTTS 59.1% 61.7% 1.62 -4.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 32.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.1%

H 38% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2✓ 8.3%

#4 1–0 7.9%

#5 0–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tiszakecske1.5

Csakvari1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TISZAKECSKE · PPG 1.58

CSAKVARI · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

61%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Tiszakecske (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -15.3%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -26.2%

Csakvari (A) 36.8%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tiszakecske face Csakvari in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tiszakecske a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Csakvari 37%, so Tiszakecske are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Tiszakecske and 1.4 for Csakvari (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tiszakecske are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.25 for Csakvari. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Tiszakecske vs Csakvari Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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