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Szeged vs Videoton FC Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

Szeged

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Videoton FC

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-112.7%0-26.5%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.2%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.0%2-17.2%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.5%3-12.5%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% — — —

Draw 30.1% — — —

Away win 33.9% — — —

Over 2.5 34.6% — — —

Over 3.5 15.8% — — —

BTTS 41.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob41.9%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 1–0 13.2%

#3 0–1 12.7%

#4 0–0 12.4%

#5 2–1 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szeged1.1

Videoton FC1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 15.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SZEGED · PPG 1.50

VIDEOTON FC · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Szeged (H) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Videoton FC (A) 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Szeged face Videoton FC on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szeged a 36% chance, the draw 30% and Videoton FC 34%, so Szeged are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Szeged and 1.0 for Videoton FC (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szeged are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.08 for Videoton FC.

Szeged vs Videoton FC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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