Today / Hungary - NB II / Karcag SE vs Kecskemeti TE

Karcag SE vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 15:00

Karcag SE

PPG 1.83 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kecskemeti TE

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.8% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-18.6%0-26.2%0-32.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.4%1-111.9%1-28.5%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.2%2-25.8%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.6%3-13.8%3-22.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 20.8% 4.80 +74.2%

Draw 25.3% 30.3% 3.30 -16.5%

Away win 38.4% 61.7% 1.62 -37.8%

Over 2.5 53.1% — — —

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 56.8% 54.1% 1.85 +5.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob56.8%

A 38% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 0–1 8.6%

#3 1–2✓ 8.5%

#4 1–0 8.4%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karcag SE1.4

Kecskemeti TE1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KARCAG SE · PPG 1.83

KECSKEMETI TE · PPG 1.17

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Karcag SE (H) 36.3%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +74.2%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -16.5%

Kecskemeti TE (A) 38.4%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -37.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Karcag SE face Kecskemeti TE in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karcag SE a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Kecskemeti TE 38%, so Kecskemeti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Karcag SE and 1.4 for Kecskemeti TE (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karcag SE are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.17 for Kecskemeti TE. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +74.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Karcag SE vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB II Predictions