Karcag SE vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Hungary - NB II Regular Season - 26 Ligeti úti Sporttelep· Karcag Sunday, April 19, 2026 15:00

Karcag SE PPG 1.83

1-2 HIT CS3

Kecskemeti TE PPG 1.17

Home· +74.2% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Karcag SE face Kecskemeti TE in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karcag SE a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Kecskemeti TE 38%, so Kecskemeti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Karcag SE and 1.4 for Kecskemeti TE (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karcag SE are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.17 for Kecskemeti TE. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +74.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +74.2%

Draw 25.3%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -16.5%

Away 38.4%

Odds: 1.62 EV: -37.8%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 30.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 56.8% Odds: 1.85 +5.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Karcag SE

1.38

Kecskemeti TE

1.43

Model SuggestionBTTS +5.1% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+74.2%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -21.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)