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Skanste vs Rēzekne FA Prediction— Latvia - 1. Liga

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 10:30

Skanste

PPG 1.25 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Rēzekne FA

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-12.8%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.9%1-17.3%1-23.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-19.3%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.7%3-17.9%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.2%4+-19.3%4+-24.3%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.1% — — —

Draw 19.6% — — —

Away win 19.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 25.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -38.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 61% / xG 2.6-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 3–0 8.7%

#4 1–1 7.3%

#5 3–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skanste2.6

Rēzekne FA0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SKANSTE · PPG 1.25

RĒZEKNE FA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.64 for Home, form 1.25 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Skanste (H) 61.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rēzekne FA (A) 19.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skanste face Rēzekne FA in Latvia - 1. Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skanste a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Rēzekne FA 19%, so Skanste are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Skanste and 0.9 for Rēzekne FA (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skanste are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.00 for Rēzekne FA. This match finished 5-1.

Skanste vs Rēzekne FA Prediction— Latvia - 1. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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