Today / India - Calcutta Premier Division / BSS Sporting vs East Bengal

BSS Sporting vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 09:30

BSS Sporting

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

East Bengal

PPG 2.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.11 for Away, form 1.67 vs 2.45

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-14.6%0-27.3%0-37.7%0-4+13.6%1 1-01.5%1-14.9%1-27.7%1-38.2%1-4+14.4%2 2-00.8%2-12.6%2-24.1%2-34.3%2-4+7.6%3 3-00.3%3-10.9%3-21.5%3-31.5%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% — — —

Draw 16.7% — — —

Away win 69.5% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.3% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 75.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob61.8%

A 70% / xG 1.1-3.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 8.2%

#2 1–2 7.7%

#3 0–3 7.7%

#4 0–2 7.3%

#5 1–4 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BSS Sporting1.1

East Bengal3.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BSS SPORTING · PPG 1.67

EAST BENGAL · PPG 2.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.11 for Away, form 1.67 vs 2.45

Win probability 1X2

BSS Sporting (H) 13.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

East Bengal (A) 69.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BSS Sporting face East Bengal in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BSS Sporting a 14% chance, the draw 17% and East Bengal 70%, so East Bengal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for BSS Sporting and 3.2 for East Bengal (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BSS Sporting are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.45 for East Bengal. This match finished 3-3.

BSS Sporting vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More India - Calcutta Premier Division Predictions