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Joondalup City vs Cockburn City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 07:00

Joondalup City

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cockburn City

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.8%0-22.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-05.0%1-17.1%1-25.0%1-32.3%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.3%2-18.8%2-26.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.2%3-17.4%3-25.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-18.3%4+-25.9%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.0% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 47.4% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.5%

H 55% / xG 2.5-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 1–1 7.1%

#3 3–1 7.4%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Joondalup City2.5

Cockburn City1.4

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

JOONDALUP CITY · PPG 1.88

COCKBURN CITY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.09 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Joondalup City (H) 55.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cockburn City (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Joondalup City face Cockburn City in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Joondalup City a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Cockburn City 23%, so Joondalup City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Joondalup City and 1.4 for Cockburn City (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Joondalup City are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.00 for Cockburn City.

Joondalup City vs Cockburn City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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