Today / Colombia - Primera B / Quindio vs Internacional Palmira

Quindio vs Internacional Palmira Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 00:30

Quindio

PPG 1.64 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Internacional Palmira

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-115.2%0-26.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.4%1-113.1%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.0%2-15.6%2-22.2%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.0%3-11.6%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% 46.5% 2.15 -21.1%

Draw 34.0% 33.3% 3.00 +2.0%

Away win 29.3% 30.8% 3.25 -2.9%

Over 2.5 34.8% 44.4% 2.25 -21.7%

Over 3.5 18.1% 23.8% 4.20 -14.4%

BTTS 45.5% 52.6% 1.90 -13.6%

Home O1.5 32.1% 42.0% 2.38 -23.6%

Away O1.5 20.4% 31.3% 3.20 -20.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 24%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -57.0%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.5%

D 34% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.1%

#2 1–1✓ 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.4%

#4 0–1 15.2%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quindio0.9

Internacional Palmira0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

QUINDIO · PPG 1.64

INTERNACIONAL PALMIRA · PPG 2.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.06, combined xG 1.66 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Quindio (H) 36.7%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -21.1%

Draw 34.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +2.0%

Internacional Palmira (A) 29.3%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -2.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Quindio face Internacional Palmira in Colombia - Primera B on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quindio a 37% chance, the draw 34% and Internacional Palmira 29%, so Quindio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Quindio and 0.8 for Internacional Palmira (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quindio are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 2.00 for Internacional Palmira. This match finished 1-1.

Quindio vs Internacional Palmira Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Colombia - Primera B Predictions