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Kalighat vs United Kolkata Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 09:30

Kalighat

PPG 0.82 · HOME

UPCOMING

United Kolkata

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.41 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-111.1%0-212.2%0-38.9%0-4+8.2%1 1-04.0%1-18.7%1-29.6%1-37.0%1-4+6.5%2 2-01.6%2-13.4%2-23.8%2-32.8%2-4+2.6%3 3-00.4%3-10.9%3-21.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.0% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 65.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 61.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob49.2%

A 65% / xG 0.8-2.2 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.2%

#2 1–1 8.7%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–3 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kalighat0.8

United Kolkata2.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KALIGHAT · PPG 0.82

UNITED KOLKATA · PPG 2.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.41 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Kalighat (H) 13.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

United Kolkata (A) 65.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kalighat face United Kolkata in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kalighat a 13% chance, the draw 22% and United Kolkata 65%, so United Kolkata are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Kalighat and 2.2 for United Kolkata (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kalighat are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 2.07 for United Kolkata.

Kalighat vs United Kolkata Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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