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Inter Miami II vs Crown Legacy Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 23:00

Inter Miami II logo
Inter Miami II
PPG 0.62 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Crown Legacy logo
Crown Legacy
PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -1.75 for Away, form 0.62 vs 1.60

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-15.0%0-27.2%0-37.0%0-4+10.5%1 1-02.0%1-15.8%1-28.4%1-38.1%1-4+12.1%2 2-01.1%2-13.3%2-24.9%2-34.7%2-4+7.0%3 3-00.4%3-11.3%3-21.9%3-31.8%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 13.8%
Draw 16.7%
Away win 69.5%
Over 2.5 67.2%
Over 3.5 46.5%
BTTS 61.9%
Home O1.5 32.1%
Away O1.5 69.6%

League track record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%
O2.5 84%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 24%
ROI 45.2%
Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 78%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob61.9%

A 70% / xG 1.2-2.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.4%
#2 1–3 8.1%
#3 0–2 7.2%
#4 0–3 7.0%
#5 1–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Miami II1.2
Crown Legacy2.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 46.5%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER MIAMI II · PPG 0.62

CROWN LEGACY · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.75 for Away, form 0.62 vs 1.60

Win probability 1X2

Inter Miami II (H) 13.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Crown Legacy (A) 69.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Miami II face Crown Legacy in USA - MLS Next Pro on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Miami II a 14% chance, the draw 17% and Crown Legacy 70%, so Crown Legacy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Inter Miami II and 2.9 for Crown Legacy (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Miami II are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 1.60 for Crown Legacy.

PredictVantage

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