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New York RB II vs New England II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 21:00

New York RB II logo
New York RB II
PPG 1.90 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
New England II logo
New England II
PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-15.6%0-23.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.4%1-110.4%1-26.5%1-32.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.8%3-16.0%3-23.7%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-14.2%4+-22.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.1%
Draw 22.9%
Away win 26.0%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Over 3.5 40.0%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5 53.6%
Away O1.5 36.5%

League track record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 42%
Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.1%

H 51% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%
#2 2–1 9.7%
#3 2–0 7.8%
#4 1–0 8.4%
#5 1–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

New York RB II1.9
New England II1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NEW YORK RB II · PPG 1.90

NEW ENGLAND II · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

New York RB II (H) 51.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
New England II (A) 26.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

New York RB II face New England II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives New York RB II a 51% chance, the draw 23% and New England II 26%, so New York RB II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for New York RB II and 1.2 for New England II (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, New York RB II are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.71 for New England II.

PredictVantage

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