Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Huntsville City vs Crown Legacy

Huntsville City vs Crown Legacy Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 00:00

Huntsville City

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Crown Legacy

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 70.3% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.5%0-23.7%0-32.7%0-4+2.4%1 1-03.2%1-16.8%1-27.4%1-35.3%1-4+4.8%2 2-03.1%2-16.7%2-27.3%2-35.3%2-4+4.7%3 3-02.0%3-14.4%3-24.8%3-33.5%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.4%4+-23.7%4+-32.7%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% 29.4% 3.40 +31.9%

Draw 21.5% 26.3% 3.80 -11.0%

Away win 39.7% 57.1% 1.75 -30.5%

Over 2.5 67.0% 69.4% 1.44 -3.5%

Over 3.5 47.4% 48.5% 2.06 -2.4%

BTTS 70.3% 69.4% 1.44 +1.2%

Home O1.5 53.6% 42.0% 2.38 +27.6%

Away O1.5 54.5% 65.4% 1.53 -16.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob70.3%

A 40% / xG 2.0-2.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.8%

#2 1–2 7.4%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 1–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huntsville City2.0

Crown Legacy2.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HUNTSVILLE CITY · PPG 1.44

CROWN LEGACY · PPG 1.44

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Huntsville City (H) 38.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +31.9%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -11.0%

Crown Legacy (A) 39.7%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -30.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huntsville City face Crown Legacy in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huntsville City a 39% chance, the draw 22% and Crown Legacy 40%, so Crown Legacy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Huntsville City and 2.2 for Crown Legacy (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huntsville City are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.44 for Crown Legacy. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +65.8%.

Huntsville City vs Crown Legacy Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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