Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / The Town vs Austin II

The Town vs Austin II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 02:30

The Town

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Austin II

PPG 2.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-19.0%0-26.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.2%1-112.3%1-28.2%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.3%2-18.4%2-25.6%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.8%3-13.8%3-22.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 42.8%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.4%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 6.8%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 1–2 8.2%

#5 1–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

The Town1.4

Austin II1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

THE TOWN · PPG 1.88

AUSTIN II · PPG 2.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

The Town (H) 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austin II (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

The Town face Austin II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives The Town a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Austin II 35%, so The Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for The Town and 1.3 for Austin II (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, The Town are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 2.56 for Austin II.

The Town vs Austin II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - MLS Next Pro Predictions