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The Town vs Austin II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 08:00

The Town logo
The Town
PPG 1.88 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Austin II logo
Austin II
PPG 2.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-18.8%0-26.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.9%1-112.1%1-28.3%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.1%2-18.3%2-25.7%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.8%3-13.8%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 38.4%
Draw 25.7%
Away win 35.9%
Over 2.5 53.4%
Over 3.5 32.2%
BTTS 55.4%
Home O1.5 38.3%
Away O1.5 43.7%

League track record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 42%
Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.4%

H 38% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%
#2 2–1 8.3%
#3 0–0 6.5%
#4 1–2 8.3%
#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

The Town1.4
Austin II1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

THE TOWN · PPG 1.88

AUSTIN II · PPG 2.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

The Town (H) 38.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Austin II (A) 35.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

The Town face Austin II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives The Town a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Austin II 36%, so The Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for The Town and 1.4 for Austin II (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, The Town are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 2.56 for Austin II.

PredictVantage

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