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Minnesota United II vs Portland Timbers II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 00:00

Minnesota United II

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Portland Timbers II

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-19.8%0-25.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.3%1-112.9%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.5%2-18.5%2-24.8%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.3%3-13.7%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.9% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 31.3% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 30.5% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 42% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.6%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 0–1 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Minnesota United II1.3

Portland Timbers II1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MINNESOTA UNITED II · PPG 1.67

PORTLAND TIMBERS II · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Minnesota United II (H) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Portland Timbers II (A) 31.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Minnesota United II face Portland Timbers II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Minnesota United II a 42% chance, the draw 27% and Portland Timbers II 31%, so Minnesota United II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Minnesota United II and 1.1 for Portland Timbers II (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Minnesota United II are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.20 for Portland Timbers II.

Minnesota United II vs Portland Timbers II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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