Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati II

Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 20:00

Chicago Fire II

PPG 2.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Cincinnati II

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 2.12 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-12.7%0-21.0%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.0%1-16.9%1-22.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.6%2-19.0%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-17.7%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-012.1%4+-19.3%4+-23.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.8% — — —

Draw 18.6% — — —

Away win 9.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 40.6% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 72% / xG 2.6-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.6%

#2 3–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 1–1 6.9%

#5 1–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chicago Fire II2.6

FC Cincinnati II0.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CHICAGO FIRE II · PPG 2.12

FC CINCINNATI II · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 2.12 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Chicago Fire II (H) 71.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Cincinnati II (A) 9.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Chicago Fire II face FC Cincinnati II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chicago Fire II a 72% chance, the draw 19% and FC Cincinnati II 10%, so Chicago Fire II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Chicago Fire II and 0.8 for FC Cincinnati II (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chicago Fire II are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 0.00 for FC Cincinnati II.

Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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