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Estudiantil CNI vs Deportivo Binacional Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 20:30

Estudiantil CNI

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Binacional

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.37 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-14.5%0-21.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.1%1-19.1%1-22.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.2%2-19.2%2-23.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.5%3-16.2%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-14.9%4+-21.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.4% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 16.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 19.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.7%

H 62% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.2%

#2 1–0 14.1%

#3 1–1 9.1%

#4 3–0 9.5%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Estudiantil CNI2.0

Deportivo Binacional0.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ESTUDIANTIL CNI · PPG 1.75

DEPORTIVO BINACIONAL · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.37 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Estudiantil CNI (H) 62.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Binacional (A) 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Estudiantil CNI face Deportivo Binacional in Peru - Segunda División on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Estudiantil CNI a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Deportivo Binacional 17%, so Estudiantil CNI are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Estudiantil CNI and 0.6 for Deportivo Binacional (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Estudiantil CNI are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.80 for Deportivo Binacional.

Estudiantil CNI vs Deportivo Binacional Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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