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Kiffen vs Union Plaani Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 16:00

Kiffen

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Union Plaani

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.34 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.5%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.8%1-14.8%1-22.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.2%2-17.6%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.8%3-18.1%3-23.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-017.1%4+-114.1%4+-25.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.1% 81.3% 1.23 -12.6%

Draw 17.7% 17.9% 5.60 -0.5%

Away win 11.2% 13.3% 7.50 -9.6%

Over 2.5 67.2% 85.5% 1.17 -21.4%

Over 3.5 45.4% 67.1% 1.49 -32.4%

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 30.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.6%

H 71% / xG 3.2-0.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.8%

#2 2–0 9.2%

#3 3–1 8.1%

#4 4–0 7.7%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kiffen3.2

Union Plaani0.8

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KIFFEN · PPG 2.29

UNION PLAANI · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.34 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kiffen (H) 71.1%

ODDS 1.23 · IMPLIED 81.3% EV -12.6%

Draw 17.7%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV -0.5%

Union Plaani (A) 11.2%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV -9.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kiffen face Union Plaani in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kiffen a 71% chance, the draw 18% and Union Plaani 11%, so Kiffen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Kiffen and 0.8 for Union Plaani (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kiffen are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.57 for Union Plaani.

Kiffen vs Union Plaani Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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