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PuiU Helsinki vs Atlantis Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

PuiU Helsinki

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atlantis

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 74.5% vs bookmaker-implied 87.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.9%0-22.3%0-31.9%0-4+2.1%1 1-01.8%1-14.5%1-25.6%1-34.6%1-4+5.1%2 2-02.2%2-15.4%2-26.7%2-35.5%2-4+6.2%3 3-01.8%3-14.4%3-25.4%3-34.5%3-4+5.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-14.7%4+-25.8%4+-34.8%4+-4+5.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.4% 35.7% 2.80 +18.7%

Draw 19.9% 25.3% 3.95 -12.8%

Away win 37.7% 51.5% 1.94 -26.9%

Over 2.5 74.5% 87.0% 1.15 -14.3%

Over 3.5 54.0% 69.0% 1.45 -21.7%

BTTS 70.3% 82.0% 1.22 -14.2%

Home O1.5 60.1% 64.5% 1.55 -6.9%

Away O1.5 67.8% 71.9% 1.39 -5.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 81%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 30.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob70.3%

A 38% / xG 2.4-2.5 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.7%

#2 1–2 5.6%

#3 2–3 5.5%

#4 2–1 5.4%

#5 3–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PuiU Helsinki2.4

Atlantis2.5

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PUIU HELSINKI · PPG 1.43

ATLANTIS · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

PuiU Helsinki (H) 42.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +18.7%

Draw 19.9%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -12.8%

Atlantis (A) 37.7%

ODDS 1.94 · IMPLIED 51.5% EV -26.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

PuiU Helsinki face Atlantis in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PuiU Helsinki a 42% chance, the draw 20% and Atlantis 38%, so PuiU Helsinki are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for PuiU Helsinki and 2.5 for Atlantis (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PuiU Helsinki are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.00 for Atlantis.

PuiU Helsinki vs Atlantis Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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