Today / Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A / Atlantis vs HPS

Atlantis vs HPS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Atlantis

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

HPS

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 75.4% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.5%0-21.6%0-31.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-02.0%1-14.3%1-24.6%1-33.3%1-4+2.9%2 2-02.8%2-16.0%2-26.4%2-34.6%2-4+4.1%3 3-02.6%3-15.6%3-26.0%3-34.3%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-17.7%4+-28.3%4+-36.0%4+-4+5.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% 55.6% 1.80 -8.9%

Draw 21.3% 23.8% 4.20 -6.3%

Away win 28.2% 32.3% 3.10 -7.5%

Over 2.5 75.4% 82.0% 1.22 -8.0%

Over 3.5 53.4% 63.7% 1.57 -16.2%

BTTS 69.5% 78.1% 1.28 -11.0%

Home O1.5 66.5% 71.4% 1.40 -6.9%

Away O1.5 54.5% 55.6% 1.80 -1.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 81%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 24.0%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.5%

H 51% / xG 2.8-2.1 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.4%

#2 3–2 6.0%

#3 2–1 6.0%

#4 3–1 5.6%

#5 1–1 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atlantis2.8

HPS2.1

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.4% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLANTIS · PPG 2.00

HPS · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Atlantis (H) 50.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -8.9%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -6.3%

HPS (A) 28.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlantis face HPS in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlantis a 51% chance, the draw 21% and HPS 28%, so Atlantis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Atlantis and 2.1 for HPS (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlantis are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.17 for HPS. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +10.2%.

Atlantis vs HPS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A Predictions