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MyPa vs Kiffen Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

MyPa

PPG 0.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kiffen

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 67.8% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-17.1%0-28.0%0-36.0%0-4+5.7%1 1-03.8%1-18.6%1-29.6%1-37.2%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.3%2-15.2%2-25.8%2-34.3%2-4+4.1%3 3-00.9%3-12.1%3-22.3%3-31.7%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.9% 25.3% 3.95 -5.7%

Draw 21.7% 23.8% 4.20 -5.3%

Away win 55.4% 64.1% 1.56 -13.6%

Over 2.5 64.1% 81.3% 1.23 -21.2%

Over 3.5 42.8% 60.2% 1.66 -28.9%

BTTS 62.1% 74.6% 1.34 -16.8%

Home O1.5 33.1% 49.5% 2.02 -33.1%

Away O1.5 67.8% 76.9% 1.30 -11.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 81%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 30.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob62.1%

A 55% / xG 1.2-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 8.0%

#4 1–3 7.2%

#5 0–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MyPa1.2

Kiffen2.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MYPA · PPG 0.57

KIFFEN · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.04 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

MyPa (H) 22.9%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -5.7%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -5.3%

Kiffen (A) 55.4%

ODDS 1.56 · IMPLIED 64.1% EV -13.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

MyPa face Kiffen in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MyPa a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Kiffen 55%, so Kiffen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for MyPa and 2.2 for Kiffen (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MyPa are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.86 for Kiffen.

MyPa vs Kiffen Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A Predictions