Today / C. Budejovice vs Han. Kromeriz

C. Budejovice vs Han. Kromeriz Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

C. Budejovice

PPG 1.17 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Han. Kromeriz

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.09)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-18.7%0-23.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.5%1-112.4%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-18.9%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.0%3-14.3%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 22.5% — — —

Over 2.5 40.2% — — —

Over 3.5 19.9% — — —

BTTS 43.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.9%

H 51% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 14.5%

#2 1–1 12.4%

#3 2–0 10.4%

#4 0–0 10.1%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Budejovice1.4

Han. Kromeriz0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.9%

Form & verdict PPG

C. BUDEJOVICE · PPG 1.17

HAN. KROMERIZ · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.09)

Win probability 1X2

C. Budejovice (H) 50.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Han. Kromeriz (A) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Budejovice face Han. Kromeriz on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Budejovice a 51% chance, the draw 27% and Han. Kromeriz 23%, so C. Budejovice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for C. Budejovice and 0.9 for Han. Kromeriz (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Budejovice are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.09 for Han. Kromeriz. This match finished 1-0.

C. Budejovice vs Han. Kromeriz Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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