Port Vale vs Wigan Athletic Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Regular Season - 44 Vale Park· Stoke on Trent Sunday, April 19, 2026 14:00

Port Vale PPG 0.95

0-0 HIT CS4

Wigan Athletic PPG 0.86

Home· +27.3% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Port Vale face Wigan Athletic in England - League One on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Port Vale a 37% chance, the draw 30% and Wigan Athletic 33%, so Port Vale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Port Vale and 1.0 for Wigan Athletic (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Port Vale are averaging 0.95 points per game versus 0.86 for Wigan Athletic. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +27.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.9%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +27.3%

Draw 29.6%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -5.3%

Away 33.4%

Odds: 2.14 EV: -28.5%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.0% Odds: 2.25 -19.0%

Over 3.5 16.8% Odds: 4.20 -29.4%

BTTS 43.0% Odds: 1.90 -18.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Port Vale

1.10

Wigan Athletic

1.03

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -55.8%

Bet Hit 26% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.95), Away POOR (0.86)