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Siegburger vs Konigsdorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 23 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:30

Siegburger

PPG 1.36 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Konigsdorf

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-13.4%0-22.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.7%1-18.1%1-24.8%1-31.9%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.9%2-19.5%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.2%3-17.5%3-24.5%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-17.7%4+-24.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.1% — — —

Draw 18.8% — — —

Away win 18.1% — — —

Over 2.5 68.9% — — —

Over 3.5 47.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.2%

H 63% / xG 2.4-1.2 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.5%

#2 1–1 8.1%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 3–1 7.5%

#5 1–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Siegburger2.4

Konigsdorf1.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.9% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SIEGBURGER · PPG 1.36

KONIGSDORF · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.10)

Win probability 1X2

Siegburger (H) 63.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Konigsdorf (A) 18.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Siegburger face Konigsdorf in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Siegburger a 63% chance, the draw 19% and Konigsdorf 18%, so Siegburger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Siegburger and 1.2 for Konigsdorf (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Siegburger are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.10 for Konigsdorf. This match finished 0-0.

Siegburger vs Konigsdorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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