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Frechen vs VfL Vichttal Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 23 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:30

Frechen

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

VfL Vichttal

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-13.4%0-25.3%0-35.5%0-4+9.3%1 1-01.5%1-14.8%1-27.4%1-37.7%1-4+13.0%2 2-01.1%2-13.4%2-25.2%2-35.4%2-4+9.1%3 3-00.5%3-11.6%3-22.4%3-32.5%3-4+4.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.7%4+-21.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.1% — — —

Draw 14.5% — — —

Away win 71.4% — — —

Over 2.5 82.8% — — —

Over 3.5 66.0% — — —

BTTS 72.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob72.1%

A 71% / xG 1.4-3.1 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.7%

#2 1–2 7.4%

#3 1–4 6.0%

#4 0–3 5.5%

#5 2–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Frechen1.4

VfL Vichttal3.1

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.8% · O3.5 PROB 66.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FRECHEN · PPG 1.50

VFL VICHTTAL · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.73)

Win probability 1X2

Frechen (H) 14.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VfL Vichttal (A) 71.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Frechen face VfL Vichttal in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Frechen a 14% chance, the draw 14% and VfL Vichttal 71%, so VfL Vichttal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Frechen and 3.1 for VfL Vichttal (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Frechen are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.73 for VfL Vichttal. This match finished 0-0.

Frechen vs VfL Vichttal Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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