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Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 vs Lanús Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 18:00

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lanús Res.

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.94 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-112.7%0-211.4%0-36.8%0-4+4.6%1 1-06.0%1-110.8%1-29.7%1-35.8%1-4+3.9%2 2-02.6%2-14.6%2-24.2%2-32.5%2-4+1.7%3 3-00.7%3-11.3%3-21.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.7% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 50.5% — — —

Over 2.5 51.6% — — —

Over 3.5 29.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob53.1%

A 50% / xG 0.9-1.8 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 0–2 11.4%

#3 0–1 12.7%

#4 1–2 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20.9

Lanús Res.1.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO 2 · PPG 1.00

LANÚS RES. · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.94 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 (H) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lanús Res. (A) 50.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 face Lanús Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 a 25% chance, the draw 25% and Lanús Res. 51%, so Lanús Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 and 1.8 for Lanús Res. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.55 for Lanús Res..

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 vs Lanús Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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