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Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 18:00

Unión Santa Fe Res.

PPG 1.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Argentinos Juniors Res.

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-110.4%0-24.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.0%1-112.9%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.9%2-18.0%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.1%3-13.3%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 24.1% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 34.5% — — —

Away O1.5 20.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.4%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 12.9%

#3 1–0 16.0%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 0–1 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Unión Santa Fe Res.1.2

Argentinos Juniors Res.0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIÓN SANTA FE RES. · PPG 1.90

ARGENTINOS JUNIORS RES. · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.43, combined xG 2.05 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Unión Santa Fe Res. (H) 48.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Argentinos Juniors Res. (A) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Unión Santa Fe Res. face Argentinos Juniors Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Unión Santa Fe Res. a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Argentinos Juniors Res. 24%, so Unión Santa Fe Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Unión Santa Fe Res. and 0.8 for Argentinos Juniors Res. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Unión Santa Fe Res. are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.10 for Argentinos Juniors Res..

Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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