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Banfield Res. vs Tigre Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 18:00

Banfield Res.

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tigre Res.

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.5%0-110.1%0-23.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.7%1-112.0%1-23.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.7%2-17.1%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.6%3-12.8%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% — — —

Draw 29.0% — — —

Away win 21.5% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.8% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.4%

H 50% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.5%

#2 1–0 19.7%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banfield Res.1.2

Tigre Res.0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BANFIELD RES. · PPG 1.60

TIGRE RES. · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Banfield Res. (H) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tigre Res. (A) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Banfield Res. face Tigre Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banfield Res. a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Tigre Res. 22%, so Banfield Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Banfield Res. and 0.6 for Tigre Res. (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banfield Res. are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.44 for Tigre Res..

Banfield Res. vs Tigre Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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