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Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Aldosivi Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 18:00

Gimnasia La Plata Res.

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Aldosivi Res.

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-18.2%0-22.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.9%1-111.7%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.7%2-18.3%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.0%3-13.9%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-11.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.9%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 2–0 12.7%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimnasia La Plata Res.1.4

Aldosivi Res.0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMNASIA LA PLATA RES. · PPG 1.00

ALDOSIVI RES. · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gimnasia La Plata Res. (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aldosivi Res. (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimnasia La Plata Res. face Aldosivi Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimnasia La Plata Res. a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Aldosivi Res. 23%, so Gimnasia La Plata Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Gimnasia La Plata Res. and 0.7 for Aldosivi Res. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimnasia La Plata Res. are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.60 for Aldosivi Res..

Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Aldosivi Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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