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Yaypan vs FarDu Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Regular Season - 12 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 14:00

Yaypan

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

FarDu

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.7%0-23.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-06.1%1-19.2%1-26.9%1-33.5%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.0%2-19.1%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.0%3-15.9%3-24.5%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.6%4+-23.4%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 27.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.9% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.5%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yaypan2.0

FarDu1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

YAYPAN · PPG 1.50

FARDU · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.47 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Yaypan (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FarDu (A) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yaypan face FarDu in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yaypan a 50% chance, the draw 22% and FarDu 28%, so Yaypan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Yaypan and 1.5 for FarDu (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yaypan are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.83 for FarDu.

Yaypan vs FarDu Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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