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Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 13 ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 15:00

Kattaqurgon

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Pakhtakor II

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-13.2%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.7%1-17.1%1-21.6%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.1%2-17.7%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.5%3-15.6%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-011.3%4+-15.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.4% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 9.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 31.7% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 14.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob45.4%

H 71% / xG 2.2-0.5 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.1%

#2 1–0 15.7%

#3 3–0 12.5%

#4 0–0 7.2%

#5 1–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kattaqurgon2.2

Pakhtakor II0.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KATTAQURGON · PPG 2.00

PAKHTAKOR II · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kattaqurgon (H) 71.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pakhtakor II (A) 9.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kattaqurgon face Pakhtakor II in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kattaqurgon a 71% chance, the draw 19% and Pakhtakor II 10%, so Kattaqurgon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Kattaqurgon and 0.5 for Pakhtakor II (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kattaqurgon are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.80 for Pakhtakor II.

Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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