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Peerless vs Kalighat Club Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 09:30

Peerless logo
Peerless
PPG 1.09 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Kalighat Club logo
Kalighat Club
PPG 1.12 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.0%0-115.5%0-25.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.3%1-112.8%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.1%2-15.3%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.0%3-11.4%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 33.2%
Draw 32.9%
Away win 33.9%
Over 2.5 33.6%
Over 3.5 15.4%
BTTS 45.3%
Home O1.5 32.6%
Away O1.5 20.3%

League track record

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%
O2.5 33%
BTTS 67%
Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.3%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.0%
#2 1–0 17.3%
#3 1–1 12.8%
#4 0–1 15.5%
#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Peerless0.8
Kalighat Club0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 15.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PEERLESS · PPG 1.09

KALIGHAT CLUB · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.09, combined xG 1.56 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Peerless (H) 33.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 32.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Kalighat Club (A) 33.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Peerless face Kalighat Club in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peerless a 33% chance, the draw 33% and Kalighat Club 34%, so Kalighat Club are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Peerless and 0.7 for Kalighat Club (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peerless are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.12 for Kalighat Club.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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