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United vs Rainbow Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 09:30

United

PPG 0.93 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rainbow

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.03, combined xG 2.47 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-110.5%0-26.6%0-32.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.3%1-112.9%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.3%2-17.9%2-24.9%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.6%3-13.2%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 29.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.1% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.4%

#3 0–1 10.5%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

United1.2

Rainbow1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

UNITED · PPG 0.93

RAINBOW · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.03, combined xG 2.47 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

United (H) 45.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rainbow (A) 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

United face Rainbow in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives United a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Rainbow 30%, so United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for United and 1.2 for Rainbow (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, United are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.08 for Rainbow.

United vs Rainbow Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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