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Wari vs Calcutta Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 09:30

Wari

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Calcutta Police

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-036.9%0-18.9%0-21.1%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-027.8%1-16.7%1-20.8%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.5%2-12.5%2-20.3%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.6%3-10.6%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% — — —

Draw 36.4% — — —

Away win 17.7% — — —

Over 2.5 23.1% — — —

Over 3.5 9.8% — — —

BTTS 26.2% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.2 BTTS prob26.2%

H 46% / xG 0.8-0.2 / U2.5 23% / NoBTTS 26%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 36.9%

#2 1–0 27.8%

#3 2–0 10.5%

#4 0–1 8.9%

#5 1–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wari0.8

Calcutta Police0.2

COMBINED 1.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.1% · O3.5 PROB 9.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WARI · PPG 3.00

CALCUTTA POLICE · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Wari (H) 45.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Calcutta Police (A) 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wari face Calcutta Police in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wari a 46% chance, the draw 36% and Calcutta Police 18%, so Wari are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Wari and 0.2 for Calcutta Police (1.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 26% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wari are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Calcutta Police. This match finished 1-3.

Wari vs Calcutta Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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