Cerro face Montevideo City on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cerro a 20% chance, the draw 33% and Montevideo City 47%, so Montevideo City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Cerro and 1.1 for Montevideo City (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cerro are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Montevideo City. This match finished 1-1.
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.33)